Western Kentucky
W-L: (37-11) PR = 93.5889Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7- 9, 91.1) 6- 0 206 A Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 11- 1 207 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7- 9, 91.1) 2- 4 207 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 1- 0 208 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 3-13, 90.0) 2- 0 213 H Army PAT ( 4- 9, 91.1) 2- 1 213 A Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 9-12 214 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 6- 8 214 A Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 13- 2 220 H Butler BE ( 0- 4, 86.1) 9- 0 220 H Western Michigan MA ( 2- 8, 90.8) 7- 2 221 H Detroit Mercy HL ( 0- 8, 86.2) 9- 1 221 H Western Michigan MA ( 2- 8, 90.8) 8- 4 227 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 12- 3 227 H IUPUI HL ( 0- 9, 86.5) 16- 2 228 H Ball State MA ( 4- 5, 91.7) 6- 4 228 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 2- 1 301 H IUPUI HL ( 0- 9, 86.5) 5- 0 301 H IUPUI HL ( 0- 9, 86.5) 5- 0 306 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 4- 3 306 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 8- 0 308 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 6- 1 310 H Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 8- 0 313 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2- 4 314 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 0- 5 315 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 1- 7 318 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 4-13 320 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 5- 4 321 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 5- 0 322 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 7- 5 327 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 9 328 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 7- 7 329 A New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 9- 4 402 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 9- 1 402 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 6- 1 403 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 7- 4 407 H Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 5- 1 410 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 2- 3 411 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 0- 4 412 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 6- 2 415 A Evansville MV ( 0- 4, 89.7) 7- 5 417 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 9- 0 417 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 7- 1 419 H UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 8- 3 424 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 13- 5 425 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 13- 4 426 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 7- 4 430 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 3 501 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 2- 4 502 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 6- 1
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A UNC Greensboro 6- 0 6 2 ++ 4.30
206 A Eastern Illinois 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.11
207 H UNC Greensboro 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.18
208 H Eastern Illinois 2- 0 2 4 - -2.37
213 H Army 2- 1 1 3 - -2.28
213 A Mercer 9-12 -3 7 --- -9.80
214 A Iowa 6- 8 -2 0 -1.89
214 A Mercer 13- 2 11 7 ++ 4.20
220 H Butler 9- 0 9 8 0.79
220 H Western Michigan 7- 2 5 4 1.50
221 H Detroit Mercy 9- 1 8 8 -0.11
221 H Western Michigan 8- 4 4 4 0.50
227 H Illinois 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.67
227 H IUPUI 16- 2 14 8 +++ 6.16
228 H Ball State 6- 4 2 3 -0.59
228 H Illinois 2- 1 1 4 - -3.33
301 H IUPUI 5- 0 5 8 - -2.84
301 H IUPUI 5- 0 5 8 - -2.84
306 H Missouri State 4- 3 1 4 - -2.53
306 H Missouri State 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.47
308 H Missouri State 6- 1 5 4 1.47
310 H Eastern Kentucky 8- 0 8 4 + 3.87
313 A Jacksonville State 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.08
314 A Jacksonville State 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.08
315 A Jacksonville State 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.08
318 H Louisville 4-13 -9 -1 --- -7.78
320 H Middle Tennessee 5- 4 1 4 - -3.08
321 H Middle Tennessee 5- 0 5 4 0.92
322 H Middle Tennessee 7- 5 2 4 - -2.08
327 H Texas Tech 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.09
328 H New Mexico 7- 7 0 2 - -2.14
329 A New Mexico State 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.07
402 H Sam Houston 9- 1 8 3 ++ 5.31
402 H Sam Houston 6- 1 5 3 + 2.31
403 H Sam Houston 7- 4 3 3 0.31
407 H Lipscomb 5- 1 4 6 -1.72
410 A Liberty 2- 3 -1 0 -1.48
411 A Liberty 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.48
412 A Liberty 6- 2 4 0 + 3.52
415 A Evansville 7- 5 2 3 -1.20
417 H UTEP 9- 0 9 6 + 3.31
417 H UTEP 7- 1 6 6 0.31
419 H UTEP 8- 3 5 6 -0.69
424 H Kennesaw State 13- 5 8 6 1.66
425 A Middle Tennessee 13- 4 9 3 +++ 6.40
426 A North Carolina 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.94
430 H Louisiana Tech 3- 3 0 2 -1.54
501 A Delaware 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.40
502 A Delaware 6- 1 5 1 + 3.60
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Mercer 9-12 -3 7 --- -9.80 318 H Louisville 4-13 -9 -1 --- -7.78 207 H UNC Greensboro 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.18 315 A Jacksonville State 1- 7 -6 -2 -- -4.08 327 H Texas Tech 0- 9 -9 -5 -- -4.09 411 A Liberty 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.48 208 H Eastern Illinois 2- 0 2 4 - -2.37 213 H Army 2- 1 1 3 - -2.28 228 H Illinois 2- 1 1 4 - -3.33 301 H IUPUI 5- 0 5 8 - -2.84 301 H IUPUI 5- 0 5 8 - -2.84 306 H Missouri State 4- 3 1 4 - -2.53 314 A Jacksonville State 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.08 320 H Middle Tennessee 5- 4 1 4 - -3.08 322 H Middle Tennessee 7- 5 2 4 - -2.08 328 H New Mexico 7- 7 0 2 - -2.14 501 A Delaware 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Eastern Illinois 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.11 227 H IUPUI 16- 2 14 8 +++ 6.16 425 A Middle Tennessee 13- 4 9 3 +++ 6.40 206 A UNC Greensboro 6- 0 6 2 ++ 4.30 214 A Mercer 13- 2 11 7 ++ 4.20 227 H Illinois 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.67 306 H Missouri State 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.47 329 A New Mexico State 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.07 402 H Sam Houston 9- 1 8 3 ++ 5.31 310 H Eastern Kentucky 8- 0 8 4 + 3.87 402 H Sam Houston 6- 1 5 3 + 2.31 412 A Liberty 6- 2 4 0 + 3.52 417 H UTEP 9- 0 9 6 + 3.31 426 A North Carolina 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.94 502 A Delaware 6- 1 5 1 + 3.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7- 9, 91.1) 6- 0 -8.75 10.62 0.74 0.50 11.45
3 A Eastern Illino ( 3-13, 90.0) 11- 1 -9.94 9.43 0.74 0.50 10.25
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7- 9, 91.1) 2- 4 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.50 -2.39
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 1- 0 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.50 10.94
3 H Eastern Illino ( 3-13, 90.0) 2- 0 -9.94 9.43 -0.74 0.50 8.76
3 H Army ( 4- 9, 91.1) 2- 1 -8.85 10.52 -0.74 0.50 9.86
3 A Mercer ( 3-11, 86.0) 9-12 -13.85 5.52 0.74 0.50 -3.30
3 A Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 6- 8 -6.94 12.43 0.74 0.50 -1.56
3 A Mercer ( 3-11, 86.0) 13- 2 -13.85 5.52 0.74 0.50 6.31
3 H Butler ( 0- 4, 86.1) 9- 0 -13.77 5.60 -0.74 0.50 4.89
3 H Western Michig ( 2- 8, 90.8) 7- 2 -9.07 10.30 -0.74 0.50 9.64
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 0- 8, 86.2) 9- 1 -13.68 5.69 -0.74 0.50 4.99
3 H Western Michig ( 2- 8, 90.8) 8- 4 -9.07 10.30 -0.74 0.50 9.64
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 12- 3 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.50 8.80
3 H IUPUI ( 0- 9, 86.5) 16- 2 -13.41 5.96 -0.74 0.50 5.26
3 H Ball State ( 4- 5, 91.7) 6- 4 -8.16 11.21 -0.74 0.50 10.55
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 2- 1 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.50 8.80
3 H IUPUI ( 0- 9, 86.5) 5- 0 -13.41 5.96 -0.74 0.50 5.26
3 H IUPUI ( 0- 9, 86.5) 5- 0 -13.41 5.96 -0.74 0.50 5.26
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 4- 3 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 0.50 9.60
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 8- 0 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 0.50 9.60
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 6- 1 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 0.50 9.60
3 H Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 8- 0 -9.70 9.67 -0.74 0.50 9.00
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 2- 4 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.50 -1.11
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 0- 5 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.50 -1.11
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 1- 7 -5.13 14.24 0.74 0.50 -1.11
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 4-13 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.50 -1.28
3 H Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 5- 4 -9.65 9.72 -0.74 0.50 9.05
3 H Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 5- 0 -9.65 9.72 -0.74 0.50 9.05
3 H Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 7- 5 -9.65 9.72 -0.74 0.50 9.05
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 9 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.50 -0.35
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 7- 7 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.50 0.00
3 A New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 9- 4 -7.98 11.39 0.74 0.50 12.23
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 9- 1 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.50 10.45
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 6- 1 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.50 10.45
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 7- 4 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.50 10.45
3 H Lipscomb ( 1-10, 88.6) 5- 1 -11.29 8.08 -0.74 0.50 7.40
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 2- 3 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.50 -1.71
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 0- 4 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.50 -1.71
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 6- 2 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.50 12.68
3 A Evansville ( 0- 4, 89.7) 7- 5 -10.25 9.12 0.74 0.50 9.94
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 9- 0 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.50 7.42
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 7- 1 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.50 7.42
3 H UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 8- 3 -11.26 8.11 -0.74 0.50 7.42
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 13- 5 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.50 6.77
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 13- 4 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.50 10.55
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 7- 4 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.50 14.11
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3- 3 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.50 0.00
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 2- 4 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.50 -1.94
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 6- 1 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.50 11.76
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317.12
|
winning pts = 334.7013 losing points = -17.5822
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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